There are many risks to consider when investing, one of them is the
Political risk of the country you invest in. South African investors saw the risk of investing in
South Africa as VERY high in 1994 and some of them built bunkers and stocked up on canned food and bottled water.
Well, those who predicted SA to
crash and burn were SO WRONG!
R10 000 invested in South African shares for the
last 10years gave you back
R33 000. The same amount invested in
Foreign shares returned
only R10 900! But Political Risk is very real and one only needs to look at a country like Zimbabwe to realise how devastating it can be. The
Arab Spring also highlighted the risk of investing in a specific country or region.
What has this got to do with investing in a Retirement Annuity then!?
Consider the following. A Retirement Annuity (R/A), like other Pension instruments, are governed by the
laws of the country which are drafted by the
government in power.
The benefit of investing in a
R/A is that you can
deduct some of your
contributions from your
taxable income and in the
2012 Budget the Minister declared that
no tax on Dividends or Capital Gains will be paid in R/A's while at the same time
INCREASED those two taxes for investments in shares outside of a R/A and other Pension instruments!
In short what he did was to make it very favourable for you as a SA citizen to increase your savings towards an R/A, and decrease your savings towards "discretionary" instruments.
The downside of the R/A investment is that when you retire out of the R/A from age 55 onwards, you may only withdraw 1/3 of the capital and with the remaining 2/3 you
have to buy another Pension (regulated by the Government off course).
So if you believe in Political risk, you will start thinking about
what will happen to your R/A investment if the
Government decides in 15 years to
CHANGE the legislation and force the manager of your funds in the R/A to buy Government Bonds at some ridiculous valuation? Or, changes the tax law and tax you at a rate of 50% on all the withdrawals you make from your Pension?
Remember, money will
flow from the rich to the poor. In a country where only the "rich" have R/A's, what will a government do to maintain the
popular vote?
At the end we might have another decade of fabulous returns in South Africa. Just make sure you can decide how you want to access and invest your savings
when things change. I would still make use of the great benefits an R/A offers, but
carry on investing in discretionary funds as well!